Ballast sees what's coming and what it could cost you. We find the events that could hit your business and use prediction markets to hedge against them, so you can focus on building what you love.
We find open prediction markets on the events that drive your costs, like oil prices, shipping disruptions, and policy decisions.
Tell us what you buy, how much, and what you've paid recently. It takes a few minutes.
We turn every event into a dollar figure for your business, so you can see exactly what's at stake.
Pick how much to cover: everything, a set budget, or only the worst case. If the event happens, the payout offsets your loss.
A paving company still has 1,200 tons of asphalt binder to buy this year. If oil jumps, so does every ton. Here's what a spike would cost, and what covering it fully costs.
Assumes binder rises ~$5/ton per $1 of oil, based on the 2026 spike in Maryland's binder index. Source: Maryland Asphalt Association.